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Nov 20, 2012
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you see them election night at headquarters. election night, headquarters are packed with people looking for something from the candidate. i know you're shaking your head there, john. seemed like you saw this with dukakis. perfect candidate for the democrats and he lost. but the republicans were always much better at covering their wounded. they'd run -- nixon ran again and again and again. they brought back bob dole 20 year later, always run the familiar names. this time it looks like they're mad at the club. the club itself produced this guy and they don't like him. >> that's right. but this was the last and least of the club, chris. as john was explaining, there was no philosophy whatsoever behind all this. it was pure opportunism, pure i'm in the right place because we have a president at a time of high unemployment so i'm going to win so be with me for no other reason than i'm going to win. there was absolutely nothing else to it. it was naked. so when he loses that's going to make it all the more vehement. i would also say
you see them election night at headquarters. election night, headquarters are packed with people looking for something from the candidate. i know you're shaking your head there, john. seemed like you saw this with dukakis. perfect candidate for the democrats and he lost. but the republicans were always much better at covering their wounded. they'd run -- nixon ran again and again and again. they brought back bob dole 20 year later, always run the familiar names. this time it looks like they're...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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mitt romney's feeling thermometer was 22%/49%. this is about 10% of the electora electorate, people undecided or only lean obama or lean romney. you look at those numbers and it tells you what, fred? >> i look at those numbers and it's going to be a very close election. every pundit, pollster, analyst has said that. and i think with these undecided voters, up for grab voters in a close election like this and like 2004, last-minute momentum helps. the president's leadership, hurricane sandy helped a lot, and i think these numbers with the up for grab voters show that as we head into tomorrow the president has a little bit of wind at his back. >> well, but it also depends what is the make yum much of the electorate? a tremendous presentation for us yesterday about this very issue. white voters versus nonwhite voters. the basic numbers from our poll. among white voters mitt romney gets 57%. president obama 38%. that's about five points below where he was in 2008. among nonwhite voters president obama at 74%. mitt romney at 19%. but,
mitt romney's feeling thermometer was 22%/49%. this is about 10% of the electora electorate, people undecided or only lean obama or lean romney. you look at those numbers and it tells you what, fred? >> i look at those numbers and it's going to be a very close election. every pundit, pollster, analyst has said that. and i think with these undecided voters, up for grab voters in a close election like this and like 2004, last-minute momentum helps. the president's leadership, hurricane...
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Nov 3, 2012
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new york's staten island one of the areas hardest hit of the storm, 22 of new york's 40 fatalities were on staten island. richard lui has been there for several days now. he joins me this afternoon. richard earlier this week, the congress minnesota that represents that particular area describes to me as the forgotten borough. what's the latest on the recovery effort on staten island. >> reporter: very good day to you. the latest is they are still digging out. the issue at hand is healing. when you were here it was recovery and trying to determine what was the amount of damage now they are going through the healing phase here on staten island, specifically we're in the new door communities. this is a church. they brought together four groups, one group here is actually helping with health needs. they are giving out these toot paste napkins, towel here. they are mapping out where they want to go in the coming days. they have these items like towels, brought in water, clothes here. bring those items in here. trying to get it out to those who don't have places to stay. don't have food. simp
new york's staten island one of the areas hardest hit of the storm, 22 of new york's 40 fatalities were on staten island. richard lui has been there for several days now. he joins me this afternoon. richard earlier this week, the congress minnesota that represents that particular area describes to me as the forgotten borough. what's the latest on the recovery effort on staten island. >> reporter: very good day to you. the latest is they are still digging out. the issue at hand is healing....
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Nov 5, 2012
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and she passed away in 22 days. i do not think mitt romney realizes what he's done to anyone. i do not think mitt romney is concerned. >> so you made reference to that obama one, a pro-obama one at the end there. my question about an ad like that and it's similar to a jeep one. he's taken a lot of blow back in the free press for that free ad and it's inaccurate. the pro-obama one was so inflammatory about causing his wife's death. i remember it being -- a considerable amount of blow-back to that one too. is that a risk with ads like this that it stirs up a lot of resentment through the press and say, it's not fair? >> i think so. a the lot of people don't realize that those super-pac ads aren't directly connected to the candidat candidates. a lot of people get up in arms, how could you obama release an ad like that with dirty politics? that can hurt you in a way unforeseen about this cycle. >> i love this ad. let's show that for a second. >> the first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. it should be a guy with beautiful -- someone who reall
and she passed away in 22 days. i do not think mitt romney realizes what he's done to anyone. i do not think mitt romney is concerned. >> so you made reference to that obama one, a pro-obama one at the end there. my question about an ad like that and it's similar to a jeep one. he's taken a lot of blow back in the free press for that free ad and it's inaccurate. the pro-obama one was so inflammatory about causing his wife's death. i remember it being -- a considerable amount of blow-back...
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Nov 5, 2012
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we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the polls showed engel was ahead by significant margins. what happened was at the end of the day when you looked at the scorecard, latinos went in favor to harry reid 9-10. that was because sharon engel's campaign was so egregious when it came to the latino votes. pollsters feel that la tyne notices won't turn out, and a lot of working class latinos are cell phones. this is the dreary part of polling. you often miss a big swath of potential when it comes to voting to the new voter, which is not only latinos but women and youth. what we're going to s
we hope to get on john raulson out of nevada. this is interesting for many reasons, and i wanted to talk specific alally about nevada wh the foreclosures are high and unemployment rate is high. latinos in that state could help president obama win it in a significant way. let's see what we see in regarding the white vote and in a key state like nevada the latino vote being the difference. >> if everybody recalls the election of 2010, when reid was running against sharon inkeningle, all the...
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Nov 7, 2012
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ld us 12:55 for remarfirmation that that has >> that is huge news. president obama has been phoned we will be back for that right after this. in. nbc news can project that tammy baldwin, the democratic candidate for senate in wisconsin has beaten her republican component,r governor tommy thompson. this was a hard fought race as tammy baldwin becomes the first openly guy woman in the united states senate. it's a big deal. wisconsin goes to the senate at the presidential level and goes democratic at the presidential left. mitt romney's concession remarks from boston and paul ryan will join him on stage after his remarks are concluded. mitt romney in boston. >> thank you. thank you, my friends. thank you so much. thank thank you. thank you. i have just called president obama to congratulate him on his victory. his supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations. i wish all of them well but particularly the president, the first lady and their daughters. this is a time of great challenges for america and i pray that the president will be successf
ld us 12:55 for remarfirmation that that has >> that is huge news. president obama has been phoned we will be back for that right after this. in. nbc news can project that tammy baldwin, the democratic candidate for senate in wisconsin has beaten her republican component,r governor tommy thompson. this was a hard fought race as tammy baldwin becomes the first openly guy woman in the united states senate. it's a big deal. wisconsin goes to the senate at the presidential level and goes...
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Nov 4, 2012
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nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has to either win in wisconsin which is also looking very much out of reach. or he has to figure out some other path of pennsylvania. i don't think it's credible but he's trying to do at least a head fake to figure out you some other path to get there. >> jonathan, to you. you might have thought that
nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state....
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Nov 6, 2012
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live pictures, that's obama's headquarters. no, that's not. i was told i was going to get live shots here. i get to blame keith. >> it's still his fault. >> that's fair. >> way to go, t. jchj. and they're not so neutral corners. "times" editor at large mark halperin, tom brokaw, the guru here at nbc and, of course, msnbc analyst michael steele. and i'm joined now from chicago by, what is the president referring to you, david plouffe? are you the architect? i know others call you the architect of the obama campaign. is that a fair description? >> i think it's how tonight goes what he refers to me as. >> let me ask you this, if you trust the exit polls, what's the first number on how the night will go? >> we have to be cautious and states like virginia, ohio and north carolina and if they're matching up to what we expect in terms of turnout and in terms of vote share amongst independents then we'll feel like we are confident. until that materializes -- >> i don't know if we lost audio. >> a little bit. >> are you there? >> david,
live pictures, that's obama's headquarters. no, that's not. i was told i was going to get live shots here. i get to blame keith. >> it's still his fault. >> that's fair. >> way to go, t. jchj. and they're not so neutral corners. "times" editor at large mark halperin, tom brokaw, the guru here at nbc and, of course, msnbc analyst michael steele. and i'm joined now from chicago by, what is the president referring to you, david plouffe? are you the architect? i know...
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Nov 1, 2012
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having the governor of nevada, you know, that's kind of standard political stuff. i'm not sure how much that helps. >> we've just gotten some new numbers from visible measure, which is a tracking firm. there's a provocative obama ad that's gotten nearly 3 million views in the past week. i want to play a little clip. >> your first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. someone who really cares about and understands women. a guy who cares whether you get health insurance, spaeskly whether you get birth control. my first time voting was amazing. before i was a girl. now i'm a woman. i went to the polling station, pulled back the curtain. i voted for barack obama. >> now, some conservatives and others have called this ad a little creepy, but what do you think? is it effective? >> well, you have to remember, it's a targeted ad. it has driven some people in the right crazy. it's targeted to snarky, urban, liberal women. to the virginity analogy is kind of apt for that. i think they think it was clever. she's been called the voice of her
having the governor of nevada, you know, that's kind of standard political stuff. i'm not sure how much that helps. >> we've just gotten some new numbers from visible measure, which is a tracking firm. there's a provocative obama ad that's gotten nearly 3 million views in the past week. i want to play a little clip. >> your first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. someone who really cares about and understands women. a guy who cares whether you...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has to either win in wisconsin which is also looking very much out of reach. or he has to figure out some other path of pennsylvania. i don't think it's credible but he's trying to do at least a head fake to figure out you some other path to get there. >> jonathan, to you. you might have thought that
nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state....
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Nov 4, 2012
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leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at nevada, north carolina, iowa. mitt romney with needs to win 54 to 60% of the remaining votes in the states in order to drop into the victory. that's a huge lift. i think when you couple the fact that democratic base is much more fired up with the fact that obama for america has been organizing for the last four years. they keep talking about pennsylvania, you can't drop into pennsylvania the weekend before an election, and expect to tip the vote just by buying ads when you have the other team with a fantastic ground operation. >> drive by campaigning won't do it. when you look at pennsyl
leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at nevada, north carolina, iowa. mitt...
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Nov 7, 2012
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there's dean berkeley in nevada. it will be interee the obama orgs can drag sh that state.eople exceed before in nevada.e the big takeaway from tonight in watching the senate is these are different lek electorates showing up i the elected barack backlash against barack obama that gave us the tea party and gavethe control of the bú stos i e leku@ torts show up in younger, less white,liberal. not reelected.hey're running the table or having a ry good night. also at the level in terms of ballot initiatives, in terms equality, is a different e that shoeç up in presidenttions. the big question for building a democraticbama and a leader democratic party is can you years? because then you're looking at>l something that looks like a really stable powerful permanent governing coalitipoliticians. >> chris hayes, thank you very smart and structural point in terms of thinkin about how we decisions. we'r process of decisions. todd joining us with the g mitch mcconnell's motivation.cop for re-election in 2014. he i in aolitical
there's dean berkeley in nevada. it will be interee the obama orgs can drag sh that state.eople exceed before in nevada.e the big takeaway from tonight in watching the senate is these are different lek electorates showing up i the elected barack backlash against barack obama that gave us the tea party and gavethe control of the bú stos i e leku@ torts show up in younger, less white,liberal. not reelected.hey're running the table or having a ry good night. also at the level in terms of ballot...
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Nov 5, 2012
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we're going to leave nevada in the president's column there. new hampshire where he's closing out. they think they would get that. they believe in a really good night they win ohio. but they also believe on a really good night they would win a pennsylvania and you could see that would give had him ceiling if you will to 315. i think you're looking at a ceiling -- it could be more -- my guest mate a ceiling just over 300 for the president, maybe 300 for mitt romney if the enthusiasm took over. >> you see bill clinton, he has two stops outside of philadelphia and two closing stops in philadelphia tonight. and you hear everybody we talked to on the obama camp says it is just to leave nothing to chance, but why would you send bill clinton to philadelphia if you weren't certain that the people in philadelphia were going to turn out and you were going to have a democratic victory? >> that's the issue. they believe they can win this on the ground. the african-american support that they have in the philadelphia area, will overwhelm them. what's interesting i've talked to a couple democrats
we're going to leave nevada in the president's column there. new hampshire where he's closing out. they think they would get that. they believe in a really good night they win ohio. but they also believe on a really good night they would win a pennsylvania and you could see that would give had him ceiling if you will to 315. i think you're looking at a ceiling -- it could be more -- my guest mate a ceiling just over 300 for the president, maybe 300 for mitt romney if the enthusiasm took over....
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Nov 1, 2012
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, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently in his stump speech that will create a stronger future for all american. meanwhile, romney heads to three states. he will be in the midwest in wisconsin and ohio. on friday night, ryan, romney, and their wifs kick off the final stretch in westchester, ohio, where they are joined by 100 governors, senators, and mayors. on friday romney travels to new hampshire and colorado. sunday is still up in the air. on the trail in florida, romney began laying out his arguments, a shorter message than last week. >> to get us on track to a balanced budget, that's going to take some real work. to get that done it going to require something in washington that's spoken about but not done and it's something i have to do. i've got to be able to reach across the aisle and get good republicans and democrats to
, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently in his stump speech that will create a stronger future for all american. meanwhile, romney heads to three states. he will be in the midwest in wisconsin and ohio. on friday night, ryan, romney, and their wifs kick off the final stretch in westchester,...
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Nov 1, 2012
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as a westerner, i'm feeling better about nevada and colorado, states very near me here in new mexico. i think the president -- this terrible tragedy that we've had as a nation, i think the president showed enormous leadership, steady leadership, bipartisanship, the work he did with governor christie. and i think it was a very sincere effort on both parts. i've been a governor. i've had forest fires. the federal government -- and this is what the president has emphasized -- fema has a primary role in these tragedies. you have to have state and local support. but without medicine and funding to help rebuild, this is an extraordinary effort by fema, and the president led. and i think the american people are seeing that. >> and you mentioned florida as well. former president bill clinton making five stops, i believe, there as well. so pulling out all the big guns, if you will. yourself included on that list. i'm curious, though, you talk about out west in your home state, this new romney ad. it was an unannounced ad. but basically it starts off -- it's a spanish language ad. it starts off
as a westerner, i'm feeling better about nevada and colorado, states very near me here in new mexico. i think the president -- this terrible tragedy that we've had as a nation, i think the president showed enormous leadership, steady leadership, bipartisanship, the work he did with governor christie. and i think it was a very sincere effort on both parts. i've been a governor. i've had forest fires. the federal government -- and this is what the president has emphasized -- fema has a primary...
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Nov 25, 2012
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he's really a very intelligent young man. >> veteran residential supervisor jamie badanish has spent 22 years working with kids at lake county juvenile. she says juveniles like ricky are especially perplexing. >> he has a lot of talent and a lot of potential. he's a very personable young man, yet he's gang through and through. the sad thing is, ricky, you are no dummy by any means of the word. you are no dummy. you just can't stay in one place long enough to accomplish it. i think that ricky is, he's just destined to be part of the gang. i'm quite sure he's got some right now. i think he likes giving orders to the so-called foot soldiers and so forth and so on. how long you been now? how old were you when you started? >> 11. >> 11? >> i'll never be ashamed of nothing i've done. i was put in the situation. i made the best out of the situation as a young kid. what else can i -- i can't get a job. i was 14 years old. i can't get no job. i did what i had to do. >> reporter: it's really unfortunate. there's still that small portion of him that would like to live on the right side of the law
he's really a very intelligent young man. >> veteran residential supervisor jamie badanish has spent 22 years working with kids at lake county juvenile. she says juveniles like ricky are especially perplexing. >> he has a lot of talent and a lot of potential. he's a very personable young man, yet he's gang through and through. the sad thing is, ricky, you are no dummy by any means of the word. you are no dummy. you just can't stay in one place long enough to accomplish it. i think...
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Nov 4, 2012
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so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida particularly, you have some really controversial candidates. one is very outspoken tea party republican allen west and the other is allen grayson, running to return to the house. >> any state that could elect either one is an accepting and forgiving electorate or they can't make up their minds. allen west has actually put up his opponent's mug shot from when he was 19 years old and that's unprecedented. most tea party representatives, no matter how controversial they are, will be re-elected. >> what about harry reid in nevada? we've seen that he has a machine in nevada and can deliver. >> he has spent
so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida...
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Nov 2, 2012
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nevada, wisconsin, north carolina, and new hampshire. the elections in those states, top elections official in those states is a democrat. in all of the other battleground states, the top election official, the secretary of state, is a republican. and most of these republican elections officials have been involved in efforts to restrict voting rights in their state for this election. trying to make registering to vote or voting, itself, more difficult. okay. so i'm going to pause for a second so you can rush up to the tv, get your cameraphone out. got it? take a picture. clip it out and put it up on the fridge. ta-da! all right. come election night, knowing who is in charge in these states is something that can come in handy. particularly if it is as close as everybody says it's going to be. common wisdom this year says the last major event in this presidential campaign was going to be the debate season. that was supposed to be the last big thing in this campaign, the last landmark. thanks to hurricane sandy, that is not actually how it
nevada, wisconsin, north carolina, and new hampshire. the elections in those states, top elections official in those states is a democrat. in all of the other battleground states, the top election official, the secretary of state, is a republican. and most of these republican elections officials have been involved in efforts to restrict voting rights in their state for this election. trying to make registering to vote or voting, itself, more difficult. okay. so i'm going to pause for a second...
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Nov 6, 2012
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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Nov 8, 2012
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nevada elects its first african-american congressman this year. america gets our first openly gay united states senator. america gets our first-ever asian american woman senator from hawaii. her seat in the house, i should note, gets filled by this woman, a democratic iraq war veteran. time going to tell you right now that her name is tulsy gabboard, because she is on the fast track to being very famous some day. speaking of iraq war veterans, tammy duckworth, veteran helicopter pilot, lost both her legs in iraq, she is going to congress and sending home the opponent who mocked her for her war record, joe walsh. california relaxed its three strikes you're out law and rejected a law to cripple the power of unions. criminal legalization of marijuana was approved in washington and montana. sherrod brown and jon tester both won, held on to their seats. democrats won a senate seat in north dakota, of all places, a seat that nobody thought they could win. all of these states that had this hugely aggressive total republican takeover from the 2010 electio
nevada elects its first african-american congressman this year. america gets our first openly gay united states senator. america gets our first-ever asian american woman senator from hawaii. her seat in the house, i should note, gets filled by this woman, a democratic iraq war veteran. time going to tell you right now that her name is tulsy gabboard, because she is on the fast track to being very famous some day. speaking of iraq war veterans, tammy duckworth, veteran helicopter pilot, lost...
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Nov 21, 2012
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you have big issues and changes in nevada that helped the president again to carry nevada. tell me about what your first, first objective is and in particular the fiscal cliff. >> absolutely. and thank you for having us on. our first priority here is focusing on job creation. you know, working across party lines with the president to get things done that need to get done like putting people back to work. the voters spoke very clearly in this election. that they want partisanship to be put aside. they want republicans and independents and democrats to work together to move our country forward, to grow our economy, to protect medicare and social security. as well as to balance the budget in a way that protects the middle class and the working poor and that's what i'm looking forward to do with my colleagues. >> of course, there's -- there are a lot of trade-offs to be made and compromises to be made. i may be among the first to congratulate you. >> thank you. >> congratulations to both of you. what are you willing to commit to if you get the tax cuts the president and party i
you have big issues and changes in nevada that helped the president again to carry nevada. tell me about what your first, first objective is and in particular the fiscal cliff. >> absolutely. and thank you for having us on. our first priority here is focusing on job creation. you know, working across party lines with the president to get things done that need to get done like putting people back to work. the voters spoke very clearly in this election. that they want partisanship to be put...
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>> you skipped on me. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. >> yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue? >> i don't know. >> we'll put it there for now. that gets us through the presidential toss-ups. let's go to the red states if you will. these are a ton of great states. >> flake wins. >> montana, that's scary. everybody, both sides say it's really too close. >> the libtarian candidate is going to make the winning number. >> it could. >> i guess he gets a couple. this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> berg wins. it's very very close. >> the same way you feel about montana. >> yeah. >> not quite as close. >> yeah. >> let's stick
>> you skipped on me. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. >> yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale....
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Nov 14, 2012
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then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if you will, below, nevada, virginia, wisconsin. have virginia number might surprise some people. all -- look at wisconsin was the only state in the battleground states where the expanded actually -- or not only leave it alone or expanded actually was higher than the repeal some or all. wisconsin, which was ground zero during the whole role of government debate with the unions. finally, who should see tax hik hikes? everyone -- those making over $250,000 or everyone? that was 60% overall. it's something you've heard from the president. he bel
then colorado, ohio, new hampshire, nevada. only wisconsin and florida, by the way, wisconsin, how about that, wisconsin and florida below the national average on whether government should do less. let's talk about health care. repeal some or all? 49% nationally. leave it or expand it 44%. there's a five-point difference on this and i want you to follow that in the swing states, if you will. as you can see colorado, iowa, ohio and florida all higher than the national average on the repeal, if...
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Nov 7, 2012
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it is 3:32 right now on the east headquarters in new york. 12:32 out west. and it's great to have you with us tonight. as president obama has been re-elected for ace. let's take a look though at the states that brought him over the threshold, the 270 nee as of right obama has a projected 303. this to mitt romney's 206. as we go to the map, states -- look at this. the 25 states in the district of columbia went blue for the pres so far the only swing state that swung for mitt romney was north carolina. and we bring back in our panel ghters that i am so excited to have with me. break we talked about marriage equality and the big things that we have seen take place this evening. i, i'll start with you because wend what vote in this election. but that had to make a big difference in states like maryland and maine and also in)r washington state where -- and just to be clear about this those were places where people were to vote yes if they were for marriage equality. in minnesota it's a no vote if you are against having the state constitution amended to ban marria
it is 3:32 right now on the east headquarters in new york. 12:32 out west. and it's great to have you with us tonight. as president obama has been re-elected for ace. let's take a look though at the states that brought him over the threshold, the 270 nee as of right obama has a projected 303. this to mitt romney's 206. as we go to the map, states -- look at this. the 25 states in the district of columbia went blue for the pres so far the only swing state that swung for mitt romney was north...
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Nov 3, 2012
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ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be wrong at this state level. >> polls ask who are you going to vote for but there's data around polls who do you think will win and that's extraordinarily predictive. why is that qu
ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are...
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the numbers from cnbc's brian sullivan live from cnbc's global headquarters. >> they are better than expected. 179,000 for the month. that is 46,000 more than the estimate or at least some of the estimates. the unemployment rate 7.9% so still under the 8% mark. i think the two better numbers are the fact that there were some prior revisions that were revised higher as well, mika. and you've also got the better data on hourly working so basically -- kind of waiting for the government report to actually update on its own website rather than go with the headlines. 171,000, 7.9%, and 184,000 private sector payrolls were created so all in all, guys, a better than expected jobs report and we are seeing stock futures rise on that number. >> literally on the numbers. steve, your take? >> i think brian said it. this was certainly a positive for the president in terms of this continuing, gradual improvement in jobs. i think economists expected as i said earlier that the unemployment rate might well go up a tick because it's been down so much last month and as brian pointed out still under 8%.
the numbers from cnbc's brian sullivan live from cnbc's global headquarters. >> they are better than expected. 179,000 for the month. that is 46,000 more than the estimate or at least some of the estimates. the unemployment rate 7.9% so still under the 8% mark. i think the two better numbers are the fact that there were some prior revisions that were revised higher as well, mika. and you've also got the better data on hourly working so basically -- kind of waiting for the government...
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and the great irony of that ad, by the way, in a news broadcast in ohio, you can see 22 consecutive political ads, the newscasters says romney has a fake ad about jobs being shipped to china. let's go to commercial break and you see the ad. so the ad is preemptively denounced. >> what about pennsylvania? could there be the calculation here that because of the storm, the eastern part of the state might have some voting problems, i'm just speculating this, and there might be a play here for romney in pennsylvania and as you said, the past 20 years the romney -- no republican has won it. but would there be a play there because of the storm? >> well, that's what they have to hope, i guess. because they don't have any other plays. the fact is if the president carries wisconsin, if he carries ohio, it is very, very hard -- romney would have to carry everything else. that's not going to happen. you look at virginia where the president has a marginal lead, you look at florida where he's competitive, the only state that seems gone for the president is north carolina. >> okay. what about the response t
and the great irony of that ad, by the way, in a news broadcast in ohio, you can see 22 consecutive political ads, the newscasters says romney has a fake ad about jobs being shipped to china. let's go to commercial break and you see the ad. so the ad is preemptively denounced. >> what about pennsylvania? could there be the calculation here that because of the storm, the eastern part of the state might have some voting problems, i'm just speculating this, and there might be a play here for...
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, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp street get to 270 electoral votes. i think governor romney starts with a challenge which is florida, north carolina, and colorado. if he can win those three, and i think he's got a decent chance in all, although the president hasn't given up on colorado and florida, then he needs to find a couple other -- a couple of options, one is to just win ohio. if he can't win ohio, and virginia also, he needs to win virginia also, okay, if he can't win ohio he needs to find another way. states of the three polls you showed as well as pennsylvania, michigan, he needs to offset a loss in ohio. ohio's the simplest and most competitive the reason they're looking at other options
, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp street get to 270 electoral votes. i think governor romney starts with a...
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i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, we're going to win nevada, we're going to win new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. >> don't just vote. bring your mom. bring your dad. bring your cousin. knock on the door of your neighbor. because let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. it literally depends on it. >> the vice president took on mitt romney's latest lie about jeep sending jobs to china. >> scare the hell -- scare the heck out of these people and it's flat false. absolutely flat fall. it's the most cynical play i've seen and, you know, there is an editorial in the denver post saying this goes to character. it's not just a lie, but it goes to character. >> while most of the attention is on ohio, a record breaking crowd gathered in concord, new hampshire. president obama was joined by one of the best retail politicians in the business. former president bill clinton. >> 20 years and nine months ago, new hampshire began the chance for me to become president. i have worked very hard in this campa
i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, we're going to win nevada, we're going to win new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. >> don't just vote. bring your mom. bring your dad. bring your cousin. knock on the door of your neighbor. because let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. it literally depends on it. >> the vice president took on mitt romney's latest lie about jeep sending jobs to china....
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Nov 7, 2012
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he's leading in nevada. he's leading iow. actually, he's pulled ahead in virginia, which we haven't had in a while. and it's but he has 22,000 votes. separate them. right now we're extraneous numbers at this point president leads in flor is okay let's say there's something whack cuyahoga and the cuyahoga number don't go the way -- the way ours go. there's colorado, nevada, florida, virginia that are all ever so slightly appe trending towards the president. you'd rather be with these few precinct dyremaining. you'd rather be the president ditto with >> this is kind of a amazing. i will say that this cannot go unremarked trying to get on air the fox newschannel to rescind its call inhi candidate that he has rolled to the tune of hundreds d thousands of dollars. >> this goes to the point that i've been making quite a bit there was going church of one not going to lost. just feeling of greed that they oing to have a large republican base it. they were told that the polls were skewed for weeks, that there was something wrong with
he's leading in nevada. he's leading iow. actually, he's pulled ahead in virginia, which we haven't had in a while. and it's but he has 22,000 votes. separate them. right now we're extraneous numbers at this point president leads in flor is okay let's say there's something whack cuyahoga and the cuyahoga number don't go the way -- the way ours go. there's colorado, nevada, florida, virginia that are all ever so slightly appe trending towards the president. you'd rather be with these few...
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton there, but they are not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> he was obama's great explainer. he was the obama whisperer in charlotte. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election. i'm convinced that bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president reelected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. there they are off from 2008. >> cuyahoga county, we're talking about cleveland. democrats need a big turno
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton there, but they are not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> he was obama's great explainer. he was the obama whisperer in charlotte. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president...
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. >> may 4th, 1988, henderson, nevada, just ten miles from the las vegas strip. dennis todd is doing routine repair work on a tv transmission power on the top of black mountain when he notices an extremely bright fire down below. >> we looked down and saw this fire with this brilliance, like a fourth of july sparkler. unlike anything i've seen before. >> the fire is so bright because it's fueled by a highly volatile chemical used to make rocket fuel. todd grabs his video camera and begins recording. >> i set it on a tripod, pointed down at the fire, and went back to eating my lunch. >> the fire has broken out at the pacific engineering and production company, known as pepcon. where the chemical is manufactured for the space shuttle and military rockets. >> the solid rocket motors of the shuttles that take off are filled with ammonia perchlorate. you have a material that can, in this case, can really detonate, explode. >> pepcon employees run for their lives. >> the employees knew what was happening and they all took off. they self-evacuated across the desert. >>
. >> may 4th, 1988, henderson, nevada, just ten miles from the las vegas strip. dennis todd is doing routine repair work on a tv transmission power on the top of black mountain when he notices an extremely bright fire down below. >> we looked down and saw this fire with this brilliance, like a fourth of july sparkler. unlike anything i've seen before. >> the fire is so bright because it's fueled by a highly volatile chemical used to make rocket fuel. todd grabs his video...
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Nov 6, 2012
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they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the only one of the nine battleground states where they are pessimistic, but the rest they feel good about. and when you think about that altogether, that's why they feel really self-assured they're going to win the electoral college tonight if not the popular vote. >> can you imagine? to finish out the two tiny villages in new hampshire, 23 votes for president obama, nine for romney, and tonight, the polls begin closing in eastern in kentucky at 6:00 eastern time. our first big clue on how the election might unfold will come at 7:00 when the polls close in another half dozen states including the batt
they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the...
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he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio, pennsylvania, and virginia. now -- >> pennsylvania, they got a chance there? yes. is it likely? >> feels like they're looking for more paths and more opportunities. they basically failed to expand the map early. they're hoping maybe hope upon hope that they steal a state late, that somehow they could scramble the whole thing up with pennsylvania. the fact is they're close in pennsylvania, but it's lucy and the football close. >> there's a lot of work to be done by the democrats in southeastern pennsylvania. >> they do have work to do in western pennsylvania. there's a whole bunch of democratic -- your friend m
he's spending a bunch of time in the firewall states like nevada and wisconsin and iowa. that's the way that he holds on even if romney somehow runs the table in florida, virginia, and ohio. if he can hold those other states, he can still win. >> chuck, you go along with that? >> i do. >> we need virginia and florida? >> i have been trying -- the sunday romney schedule had been in the dark. they had set it up. here is the sunday schedule. we just got it. iowa, ohio,...
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we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996, bob dole. right before the election,
we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have...
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everything is cooler in nevada. >> dan bolt's ebook out today. >> our paper has a beautiful new look. >> a great little piece up on therue.com about the election. check it out. >> i will see you from asia. i'm headed for 15 hours on a plane ride. we'll see you right back here, somebody will tomorrow. chris jansing is next. bye-bye. u 1% cash back on all purchases, plus a 50% annual bonus. and everyone...but her likes 50% more cash. but i'm upping my game. do you want a candy cane? yes! do you want the puppy? yes! do you want a tricycle? yes! do you want 50 percent more cash? no! ♪ festive. [ male announcer ] the capital one cash rewards card gives you 1% cash back on every purchase plus a 50% annual bonus on the cash you earn. it's the card for people who like more cash. what's in your wallet? it's the card for people who like more cash. those little things for you, life's about her. but your erectile dysfunction - that could be a question of blood flow. cialis tadalafil for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be read
everything is cooler in nevada. >> dan bolt's ebook out today. >> our paper has a beautiful new look. >> a great little piece up on therue.com about the election. check it out. >> i will see you from asia. i'm headed for 15 hours on a plane ride. we'll see you right back here, somebody will tomorrow. chris jansing is next. bye-bye. u 1% cash back on all purchases, plus a 50% annual bonus. and everyone...but her likes 50% more cash. but i'm upping my game. do you want a...